TRACKERS

Posted at 2:38 p.m. ET

All four trackers are now out.  Three - Gallup, Rasmussen, Hotline, show Obama up six points.  Battleground, which had been the holdout, and which had McCain up two yesterday, now has Obama up two.

This lead can be overcome, but it will take enormous effort, and great luck to do it.  Initially, much will depend on Sarah Palin surprising us Thursday night and becoming Sarah again.  I'm hopeful, but only guardedly so.

Then McCain must go on the attack, and raise the most profound questions about Obama.  The press will hate him, but how big is the reporter vote? 

September 30, 2008.